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2025-11-17 16:01
Can Air Force Football Make ESPN's Top 25 Rankings This Season?
As I sit here watching the Air Force Falcons' spring practice highlights, I can't help but wonder if this might finally be the year they crack ESPN's Top 25 rankings. Having followed college football religiously for over two decades, I've seen plenty of teams flirt with national recognition only to fall short when it mattered most. But something feels different about this Air Force squad, and it's not just my usual preseason optimism talking.
The conversation around Air Force's potential ranking reminds me of that recent social media storm involving basketball coach Reavis, who supposedly said, "I'd rather retire than have LA as my coach. Baka siya pa turuan ko," after Tenorio's appointment as Magnolia head coach. While that was in a different sport entirely, it highlights the crucial importance of coaching chemistry and player buy-in - elements I believe Air Force has in spades. When players genuinely respect their coaching staff and buy into the system, magic can happen on the field. I've seen too many talented teams underachieve because of locker room discord, whereas cohesive units often outperform their raw talent level.
Looking at Air Force's schedule, they've got some real opportunities to make statements this season. Their matchup against Army on November 2nd could be particularly telling - last year's game drew 4.2 million viewers, making it one of the most-watched service academy games in recent memory. If they can navigate that rivalry game successfully while handling business against Boise State on October 19th, the committee would have to take notice. Personally, I think their triple-option offense is perfectly suited to grind down opponents and control clock, which could be devastating against some of the more pass-happy teams they'll face.
The defense returns 8 starters from a unit that ranked 15th nationally in scoring defense last season, allowing just 19.2 points per game. That experience matters, especially in critical moments against high-powered offenses. I remember watching them shut down Colorado State last November, and the defensive discipline was something special. They've got this linebacker corps that just swarms to the ball, and in today's college football landscape, defensive consistency can separate the ranked teams from the also-rans.
What really excites me about their chances, though, is the quarterback situation. Haaziq Daniels showed flashes of brilliance last season, accounting for 18 total touchdowns while completing 54% of his passes. Those numbers might not jump off the page, but in their offensive system, he's the perfect conductor. I've always believed that service academy quarterbacks need a particular blend of toughness and intelligence, and Daniels seems to have both in abundance. His decision-making in critical downs could be the difference between a good season and a special one.
The Mountain West Conference looks more wide-open than usual this year, with traditional power Boise State undergoing some transition. Air Force went 10-3 last season, and with 15 returning starters, they're positioned to build on that success. From what I've seen in their spring game and the coaching staff's comments, they've been focusing heavily on red zone efficiency - an area where they ranked 45th nationally last year. Improving that by even 10-15% could translate to 2-3 additional wins.
Now, let's talk about the elephant in the room - the service academy factor. Some selection committee members might unconsciously hold military academies to a different standard, whether they'd admit it or not. I've seen it happen before where a service academy team with identical credentials to a Power Five program gets ranked lower. But this works both ways - the underdog narrative can also generate positive attention and media buzz, which certainly helps when voters are filling out their ballots late on Saturday nights.
Their special teams unit could be a secret weapon too. I was crunching some numbers recently and discovered that over the past three seasons, Air Force has blocked 11 kicks - that's top-5 nationally. Those kinds of game-changing plays stick in voters' minds and can swing close decisions when comparing similar resumes. Plus, their kicker, Matthew Dapore, connected on 14 of 17 field goals last season, including a 48-yarder against Louisville. In tight games, that reliability is pure gold.
The schedule sets up reasonably well, though that road game at Washington on September 15th looms large. If they can keep that competitive into the fourth quarter, even in a loss, it would demonstrate they belong in the conversation. Personally, I think they need to go at least 10-2 with a convincing Mountain West championship game appearance to realistically crack the Top 25. The committee tends to reward conference champions, and a title would give them that extra push.
Watching how teams handle expectations is one of my favorite parts of college football, and this Air Force team seems to have the right mindset. They play with a chip on their shoulder that I find refreshing in an era where some programs seem entitled. The leadership from their senior class appears strong, and in close games, that intangible factor often proves decisive. I've got them pegged as my dark horse to finish around 20-22 in the final rankings, provided they stay healthy and maintain their defensive intensity throughout the season. The pieces are there - now we get to see if they can put it all together when the lights are brightest.
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